Hurricane Bud: Path, models, latest forecast of Category 3 hurricane today

Christopher Davidson
June 12, 2018

"A turn toward the north-northwest is expected on Tuesday, and this general motion should continue into mid-week".

The National Hurricane Center says there is a 10% chance of development within 2 days and a 20% chance within 5 days. The storm peaked on Friday as a Category 4 hurricane with winds of 140 miles per hour.

"On the forecast track, the core of Bud and its stronger winds are expected to remain well offshore of the southwestern coast of mainland Mexico". Forecasters said the storm could strengthen a bit more before a slow weakening trend started Tuesday.

A tropical storm watch is in effect between Manzanillo, Colima, and Cabo Corrientes.

As of Monday afternoon the disturbance consisted of an area of rain and storms over the southwestern Caribbean along with a tropical wave over northwest Venezuela.

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Even if no tropical system develops, forecasters warned that the system could dump heavy rain on flood prone areas in Nicaragua, Honduras and other parts of Central America as well as the Yucatan through Thursday.

Hurricane Bud's probable path off Mexico's Pacific coast is displayed in this graphic from the National Weather Service.

In an average season, the Atlantic Basin will experience 12 tropical storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes.

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Aletta's winds were down to 40 miles per hour (65 kph) and it was predicted to dissipate by late Monday or early Tuesday.

By Saturday, Aletta dropped back down to tropical storm status, AccuWeather reported. It was about 600 miles (965 kilometres) southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.

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